Energy and economic growth in G20 countries: Panel cointegration analysis
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.17811/ebl.9.2.2020.56-72Abstract
Rising economic performance has enlarged energy demand, carbon emissions and global warming. Policymakers need to avoid global warming. Therefore, energy-growth nexus is important. This paper empirically investigates the relationship between energy consumption and economic growth for a panel of G20 countries over the period 1990-2016. For this purpose, the paper considers the panel cointegration and panel vector error correction model. Panel cointegration test set out a long-run equilibrium relationship. Long-run relationship is estimated using a Fully Modified OLS (FMOLS) and Dynamic OLS (DOLS). The results show that causality run from energy consumption to GDP. It is indicates that “growth hypothesis” is valid for G20 countries.
References
References
Acaravcı, A., Ozturk, I., (2010). “Electricity Consumption-Growth Nexus: Evidence From Panel Data For Transition Countries”. Energy Economics. 32(3), 604-608.
Apergis, N., Payne, J.E., (2009a). “Energy consumption and economic growth in Central America: evidence from a panel cointegration and error correction model”. Energy Economics. 31, 211–216.
Banerjee, A., J. Dolado, and R. Mestre. (1998). “Error-correction mechanism tests for cointegration in a single-equation framework”. Journal of Time Series Analysis. 19, 267–283.
Belke, A., Dobnik, F., Dreger, C., (2011). “Energy consumption and economicgrowth: new insights into the cointegration relationship”. Energy Economics. 33(5), 782–789.
Costantini, V., Martini,C., (2010). “The causality between energy consumption and economic growth: a multi-sectoral analysis using non-stationary cointegrated panel data”. Energy Economics. 32, 591–603.
de Hoyos, R. E. and Sarafidis, V., (2006). “Testing for Cross-sectional Dependence in Panel Data Models”. The Stata Journal. 6(4), 482-496.
Engle, R., Granger, C., (1987). “Cointegration and error correction: representation, estimation, and testing”. Econometrica. 55, 257–276.
Friedman, M., (1937). “The Use of Ranks to Avoid the Assumption of Normality Implicit in the Analysis of Variance”. Journal of the American Statistical Association. 32, 675-701.
Huang, B.N., Hwang, M.J., Yang, C.W., (2008). “Causal relationship between energy consumption and GDP growth revisited: a dynamic panel data approach”. Ecological Economics. 67, 41-54.
Johansen, S., (1991). “Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models. Econometrica”. 59(6), 1551–1580.
Kraft,J. ,Kraft,A., 1978. “On the relationship between energy and GNP”. Journal of Energy and Developmen. 3, 401–403.
Lee, C.C., (2005). “Energy consumption and GDP in developing countries: a cointegrated panel analysis”. Energy Economics. 27, 415–427.
Lee, C.C., Chang, C.P., (2008). “Energy consumption and economic growth in Asian economies: a more comprehensive analysis using panel data”. Resource and Energy Economics. 30, 50–65.
Lee, C.C., Chang, C.P., Chen, P.F., (2008). “Energy-income causality in OECD countries revisited: the key role of capital stock”. Energy Economics. 30, 2359–2373.
Masih, A.M.M., Masih, R., (1996). “Electricity consumption, real income and temporal causality: results from a multicountry study based on cointegration and error correction modeling techniques”. Energy Economics. 18, 165–183.
Oh, W., Lee, K., (2004a). “Causal relationship between energy consumption and GDP revisited: the case of Korea 1970–1999”. Energy Economics. 26, 51–59.
Oh, W., Lee, K., (2004b). “Energy consumption and economic growth in Korea: testing the causality relation”. Journal of Policy Modeling. 26, 973–981.
Ozturk, I.,( 2010).” A literature survey on energy-growth nexus”. Energy Policy. 38, 340–349.
Ozturk, I., Aslan, A., Kalyoncu, H., (2010). “Energy Consumption and Economic Growth Relationship: Evidence from Panel Data for Low and Middle Income Countries”. Energy Policy, 38(8), 4422- 4428
Paul, S., Bhattacharya, R.N., (2004). “Causality between energy consumption and economic growth in India: a note on conflicting results”. Energy Economics. 26, 977–983.
Pesaran, H.M., (2003). “A Simple Panel Unit Root Test in the Presence of Cross Section Dependence”. Mimeo, University of Southern California.
Pesaran, H.M., (2005). “A Simple Panel Unit Roor Test in the Presence of Cross Section Dependence”. Journal of Applied Econometrics. 22(2).
Squalli, J., (2007). “Electricity consumption and economic growth: bounds and causality analyses of OPEC countries”. Energy Economics. 29, 1192–1205.
Westerlund, J., (2007). “Testing for error correction in panel data. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics”. 69, 709–748.
Yildirim, E., Aslan, A., (2012). “Energy consumption and economic growth nexus for 17 highly developed OECD countries: further evidence based on bootstrap-corrected causality tests”. Energy Policy. 51, 985–993.
Zachariadis, T., 2007. Exploring the relationship between energy consumption and economic growth with bivariate models: new evidence from G-7 countries. Energy Economics. 29, 1233–1253.
Westerlund, J. and Edgerton, D., (2008). “A simple test for cointegration in dependent panels with structural breaks”. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 70(5), 665-704. DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-0084.2008.00513.x
Westerlund and D. L. Edgerton. (2007a). “A panel bootstrap cointegration test”. Economics Letters, 97:185–190.
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
The works published in this journal are subject to the following terms:
1. Oviedo University Press (the publisher) retains the property rights (copyright) of published works, and encourages and enables the reuse of the same under the license specified in paragraph 2.
© Ediuno. Ediciones de la Universidad de Oviedo / Oviedo University Press
2. The works are published in the online edition of the journal under a Creative Commons Attribution-Non Commercial-Non Derives 3.0 Spain (legal text). You can copy, use, distribute, transmit and publicly display, provided that: i) you cite the author and the original source of publication (journal, publisher and URL of the work), ii) they are not used for commercial purposes, iii) mentions the existence and specifications of this license.
3. Conditions of self-archiving. The author can archive the post-print version of the article (publisher’s version) on the author’s personal website and/or on the web of the institution where he belong, including a link to the page of the journal and putting the way of citation of the work. Economics and Business Letters and its URL https://reunido.uniovi.es/index.php/EBL/index are the only authorized source for correctly giving the reference of the publisher’s version in every mention of the article.