Linear and nonlinear causality in the UK housing market: a regional approach
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.17811/ebl.3.4.2014.288-297Resumen
We examine the causal relationship between 12 UK regional house prices. Our data span from 1983:Q1 to 2012:Q4. The causal linkages both for the first differences and the levels are examined via Granger causality. The former allows us to examine short-run predictability while the latter the long-run. We relax the assumption of linearity and examine nonlinear causality both for the levels and the first differences. We find that long-run causality among the regions is mainly linear while in the short-run is nonlinear. London’s effect on the other regions is found to be mainly nonlinear in the short-run.Citas
Alagidede, P., Panagiotidis, T. Zhang, X. (2011) “Causal relationship between stock prices and exchange rates” The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development 20: 67-86.
Ashworth, J. and Parker, S. (1997) “Modelling regional house prices in the UK.” Scottish Journal of Political Economy 44: 225–246.
Bampinas, G. and Panagiotidis, T. (2014) “Oil and gold before and after the financial crisis”, mimeo
Cook, S. (2003) “The Convergence of Regional House Prices in the UK.” Urban Studies 40: 2285-2294
Drake, L. (1993) “Testing for convergence between UK regional house prices.” Regional Studies 29: 357–366.
Diks, C. and Panchenko, V. (2005) A note on the Hiemstra-Jones test for Granger noncaussality , Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics,9
Diks, C. and Panchenko, V. (2006) A new statistic and practical guidelines for nonparametric Granger causality testing, Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control, 30, 1647-1669
Engle, R. and Granger, C. (1987) “Co-integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation and Testing.” Econometrica 55: 251-276
Granger, C.W.J. (1969) Investigating causal relations by econometric models and cross-spectral methods, Econometrica, 37, 424-438
Holmes, M.J. and Grimes, A. (2008) “Is there long-run convergence among regional house prices in the UK?” Urban Studies, 45(8), pp 1531-1580.
Hiemstra, C. and Jones, J.D. (1994) Testing for linear and nonlinear Granger causality in the stock price-volume relation, Journal of Finance, 49, 1639-1664.
Im, K. S., Pesaran, M. H., & Shin, Y. (2003) “Testing for Unit Roots in Heterogeneous Panels.” Journal of Econometrics 115: 53-74.
Johansen, S. (1995) Likelihood-Based Inference in Co integrated Vector Autoregressive Model, Oxford University Press, Oxford.
Macdonald, R. and Taylor, M. (1993) “Regional house prices in Britain: long-run relationships and short-run dynamics.” Scottish Journal of Political Economy 40: 43–55.
Toda, H.Y and Yamamoto, T. (1995) Statistical inference in vector autoregressions with possibly integrated processes, Journal of Econometrics, 66, 225-250.
Descargas
Publicado
Cómo citar
Número
Sección
Licencia
The works published in this journal are subject to the following terms:
1. Oviedo University Press (the publisher) retains the property rights (copyright) of published works, and encourages and enables the reuse of the same under the license specified in paragraph 2.
© Ediuno. Ediciones de la Universidad de Oviedo / Oviedo University Press
2. The works are published in the online edition of the journal under a Creative Commons Attribution-Non Commercial-Non Derives 3.0 Spain (legal text). You can copy, use, distribute, transmit and publicly display, provided that: i) you cite the author and the original source of publication (journal, publisher and URL of the work), ii) they are not used for commercial purposes, iii) mentions the existence and specifications of this license.
3. Conditions of self-archiving. The author can archive the post-print version of the article (publisher’s version) on the author’s personal website and/or on the web of the institution where he belong, including a link to the page of the journal and putting the way of citation of the work. Economics and Business Letters and its URL https://reunido.uniovi.es/index.php/EBL/index are the only authorized source for correctly giving the reference of the publisher’s version in every mention of the article.