Are tax revenue elasticities consistent with a balanced government budget? An analysis and implications for six CEE countries
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.17811/ebl.11.1.2022.33-40Palabras clave:
tax revenue elasticities, tax buoyancy, fiscal sustainabilityResumen
Tax revenue elasticities are an important parameter in the management of the revenue side of the government budget as they provide information about the impact of economic growth on tax revenues and fiscal sustainability. A growing number of empirical studies have estimated such elasticities or buoyancies for different countries using various methods. This paper follows a novel approach of deriving tax revenue elasticities that are consistent with a balanced budget for six Central and Eastern European countries using data over the period 1995-2019. These derived elasticities were then compared to actual estimates reported in other studies. The main conclusion from this comparison is that, for most cases considered, tax revenues were responsive enough to economic growth to support fiscal sustainability.
Citas
Bajo-Rubio, O. (2014) Balance-constrained growth rates: generalizing Thirlwall’s law, Applied Economics Letters, 21(9), 593–596.
Belinga, V., Benedek, D., de Mooij, R., and Norregaard, J. (2014) Tax Buoyancy in OECD Countries. International Monetary Fund, IMF Working Paper WP/14/110.
Boschi, M. and d’Addona, S. (2019) The stability of tax elasticities over the business cycle in European countries, Fiscal Studies, 40(2), 175–210.
Bruce, D., Fox, W. F., and Tuttle, M.H. (2006) Tax base elasticities: a multi-state analysis of long-run and short-run dynamics, Southern Economic Journal, 73(2), 315-341.
Deli, Y., Rodriguez, A. G., Kostarakos, I. and Varthalitis, P. (2018) Dynamic tax revenue buoyancy estimates for a panel of OECD countries. The Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI) Dublin, ESRI Working Paper No. 592.
Dudine, P. and Jalles, J. T. (2018) How buoyant is the tax system? New evidence from a large heterogeneous panel. Journal of International Development, 30(6), 961-991.
Havranek, T., Irsova, Z., and Schwarz, J. (2016) Dynamic elasticities of tax revenue: evidence from the Czech Republic, Applied Economics, 48(60), 5866–5881.
Jalles, J. T. (2017) Tax buoyancy in Sub-Saharan Africa: An empirical exploration, African Development Review, 29(1), 1–15.
Koester, G. and Priesmeier, C. (2017) Revenue elasticities in euro area countries. European Central Bank, ECB Working Paper 1989.
Lagravinese, R., Liberati, P. and Sacchi, A. (2020) Tax buoyancy in OECD countries: New empirical evidence, Journal of Macroeconomics, 63, 103189.
Mourre, G. and Princen, S. (2019) The dynamics of tax elasticities in the whole European Union, CESifo Economic Studies, 65(2), 204–235.
Pattichis, C. (2020) Government balance-consistent economic growth rates and their implications: A study of the euro area countries, European Journal of Government and Economics, 9(3), 220-231.
Sobel, R. S. and Holcombe, R. G. (1996) Measuring the growth and variability of tax bases over the business cycle, National Tax Journal, 49(4), 535-552.
Tanchev, S. and Todorov, I. (2019) Tax buoyancy and economic growth: Empirical evidence of Bulgaria, Journal of Tax Reform, 5(3), 236–248.
Wolswijk, G. (2009) The short and long-run tax revenue response to changes in tax bases, Economics Bulletin, 29(3), 1960-1970.
Descargas
Publicado
Cómo citar
Número
Sección
Licencia
The works published in this journal are subject to the following terms:
1. Oviedo University Press (the publisher) retains the property rights (copyright) of published works, and encourages and enables the reuse of the same under the license specified in paragraph 2.
© Ediuno. Ediciones de la Universidad de Oviedo / Oviedo University Press
2. The works are published in the online edition of the journal under a Creative Commons Attribution-Non Commercial-Non Derives 3.0 Spain (legal text). You can copy, use, distribute, transmit and publicly display, provided that: i) you cite the author and the original source of publication (journal, publisher and URL of the work), ii) they are not used for commercial purposes, iii) mentions the existence and specifications of this license.
3. Conditions of self-archiving. The author can archive the post-print version of the article (publisher’s version) on the author’s personal website and/or on the web of the institution where he belong, including a link to the page of the journal and putting the way of citation of the work. Economics and Business Letters and its URL https://reunido.uniovi.es/index.php/EBL/index are the only authorized source for correctly giving the reference of the publisher’s version in every mention of the article.